Seattle travels to Minnesota to face the Lynx in a
key early season matchup on Friday night, with Lauren Jackson and Sue
Bird ready to carry the Storm to the upset win.
Friday
night in the WNBA contains a solid four game card of action and I like
a couple of road underdogs here to get the money in the Seattle Storm
and Atlanta Dream.
The marquee matchup in the league has the 2-1 Seattle Storm visiting
the 3-0 Minnesota Lynx. With the WNBA power rankings coming out on the
league’s website yesterday, the Lynx were ranked No. 1 thanks to their
undefeated record and three impressive wins showcasing some real star
power on offense. But right behind them at No. 2 are the Seattle Storm
who started the season with two big wins against the Sacramento
Monarchs before losing on Tuesday night to the Indiana Fever.
Like any other sport, power rankings do not always mean everything.
And anyone who has followed the WNBA power rankings over the years from
the league knows that it is rare for a team to stay in the top spot for
long because of how tough the schedule can be week in and week out.
But tonight’s game is certainly huge for both teams and I am going with
the Seattle Storm to get the cover here.
Although the Minnesota Lynx seem like a tough team to go against
right now with starting off the season so hot, I am not having fear
doing it here. In fact, last season the Lynx got off to the same
surprising type of start winning their first five games – but they
faded after that and I think the first loss comes tonight. On Tuesday,
I wrote right here on SBR’s front page that the Seattle Storm’s 2-0
winning streak would be snapped when visiting the Fever in Indiana for
a variety of reasons and after being right about that, I feel it will
be the Storm who ironically end the winning streak of the Lynx tonight.
Even with the Lynx starting out the season as the top offense in the
league averaging 95 points a game, they will have to be ready for the
Storm’s top defense in the league giving up an average of only 68
points a game. Like any sport, defense wins championships – and it
also gets the pointspread covered throughout a season. I also feel
that it will be hard for the Lynx to bring the same intensity they had
when beating the LA Sparks at home just two nights ago. Facing another
top contending conference opponent in the Storm quickly after their
matchup with LA will have its difficulty and makes it a bad spot for
Minnesota here. Seimone Augustus certain gets it done for the Lynx
putting the ball in the hoop and grabbing a lot of rebounds, but like
the past couple of seasons with the Lynx – sooner or later her efforts
are just not enough no matter how much she lights up the board.
With the Storm coming into this one off of a loss in Indiana on
Tuesday, I feel they will really bring their A-game tonight instead of
how things worked out in that spot. Despite losing in the Conseco
Fieldhouse, the Storm still shot 49% from the field and they should get
their share of good looks at the hoop in Minnesota tonight. In fact,
the Lynx defense will clearly be the weakest one they have faced this
season and last year Sue Bird of the Storm had one of her best games in
Minnesota with 22 points scored as Seattle won on the road there. That
was a victory that star center Lauren Jackson of the Storm did not play
in and the Lynx will have their hands even more full with her in the
lineup tonight.
Jackson scored 34 points against the Lynx when Seattle hosted
Minnesota last year in an easy 25 point blowout win. I also feel
Seattle has the stronger bench of these two teams and that will make a
difference down the stretch in a big conference battle like this one.
Swin Cash put in 28 minutes off the bench against the Fever on Tuesday
and seems in mid-season form already.
Pinnacle Sports opened the line for this game favoring the Lynx by
2½ points and it has gone up to 4 thanks to early bettors backing the
hot winning streak of Minnesota. But remember that these early wagers
are at lower maximums than what will be allowed today. Sometimes a few
individuals out there may be steaming the line one way with smaller
maximum bets only to slam bigger bets the other way later on once a
more favorable number is out there. I do feel Seattle will win the
game straight up tonight but getting 4 points in case it is close at
the buzzer cannot hurt – especially with the 3-pointers that the Lynx
could sneak in late.
My second selection for Friday night brings us to a less exciting
Eastern Conference battle between the Atlanta Dream and Chicago Sky.
About the only thing any WNBA fan cares about with this game will be
that it is televised on NBA TV so tune in if you decide to put some
money on it as I suggest. I am going with the Atlanta Dream to get the
cover here and possibly steal a win in Chi-town.
The Sky opened their season last Saturday and gave up 102 points to
Minnesota. Even with the home court advantage tonight, it is hard
favoring a team against anyone after starting out the season with poor
defense and now a long layoff without a game. Some backers of the Sky
here might look at the stat sheet and think it was impressive they made
50% of their shots but it means nothing if you let the other team make
53% of theirs which is what the Lynx did. Last season, Chicago won
both of their home matchups against the Dream but don’t let that fool
you either – Atlanta has some solid changes in their lineup this season.
Leading the way for Atlanta has been Chamique Holdsclaw and it’s
been quite a story seeing her back in the WNBA this year. She played
for 46 minutes in the Dream’s opening game of the season last Saturday
and put in 23 points as Atlanta beat the Indiana Fever in double
overtime. Even with it being such a grueling game, the Dream faced a
surprisingly tough Washington Mystics team the next day and held their
own only losing by 6 points. Michelle Snow has also joined the Dream
this season and Atlanta’s Erika Desouza is currently the WNBA’s second
biggest rebounder averaging 11.5 of them in each game behind only Ruth
Riley. Sancho Lyttle and Michelle Snow are new additions to the Dream
this season thanks to the Comets folding and Lyttle is the only WNBA
player right now in the Top 5 for both steals and blocks per game.
This game opened as a Pick ’Em at Pinnacle and for whatever reason
the early steam has strongly backed the 0-1 Chicago Sky moving this
line up to 5 points quickly. I cannot imagine anyone lined up around a
corner wanting to lay any points with a team like the Sky right now
when it is clear Atlanta has brought more to the table so far this
season with their re-vamped lineup. Both teams realize that every game
will be critical in battling for playoff spots in the Eastern
Conference and each certainly see it as a win-able game against the
other. But for reasons I have mentioned above, I think Atlanta has the
right mix of new talent to get it done this season and should not be
this big of an underdog in Chicago.